Peak Sales Forecasting ExpertMercor • Linden, New Jersey, US
No longer accepting applications
Peak Sales Forecasting Expert
Mercor • Linden, New Jersey, US
1 day ago
Job type
- Part-time
- Remote
Job description“golden” peak-sales forecasts for representative drug programs and standard prompts. - Define structural checks, scenario logic, and sanity bands for automated forecast evaluations. - Make explicit the heuristics and base-rate assumptions used by experienced forecasters to tell a realistic model from a speculative one. ### Profile : Industry Commercial Forecaster : Director / Sr. Director / VP-level experience in global forecasting, brand planning, or commercial insights . - Built and defended patient-based peak-sales models used in portfolio, BD, or investment contexts. - Familiar with forecasting for multiple drugs or indications , particularly during pre-launch and early commercialization stages. - Can articulate the reasoning behind base-case assumptions (penetration, price, ramp, LOE) and how they evolve post-launch. - Has written or reviewed governance-ready peak-sales models (e.g., for launch committees or investor boards). Market / VC / Buy-side Analyst : Senior biotech equity analyst, VC incubation / BD lead, or company creation expert (e.g., from Third Rock, ARCH, Versant, RTW, Venrock, or similar). - Built patient-level and revenue models used for investment diligence or asset valuation . - Can critique or improve bottoms-up forecasts from an investor’s perspective, identifying optimistic biases and false comparables. ### Experience level ~10–15 years in biotech / pharma forecasting, investment, or commercial strategy roles. - Experience spanning pre-launch forecasts → post-launch actuals for multiple assets. - CV / LinkedIn bullets like “led global forecast for \[drug\],” “responsible for long-range revenue planning and peak-sales scenarios,” or “built patient-based forecasts for portfolio decisions.” - Strong comfort with market modeling logic (TPP inputs → eligible pool → penetration → price / net → ramp + LOE). - Evidence of post-hoc learning — can articulate where real-world results diverged from base-case assumptions. ### Expectations : Inputs we give : Forecast prompts (representative TPPs, analogs, and SoC / pricing / launch assumptions). - Access to anonymized or simulated data sets for building base cases. Expected outputs (per prompt) : Golden Forecast Output : A benchmark-quality peak-sales forecast (peak value, revenue curve by key years) plus a concise narrative (3–5 key drivers, 2–3 downside risks). The output should show how the expert calibrates realistic vs. inflated scenarios. - Forecast Rubric : A structured evaluation framework with critical checks (market structure realism, patient flow logic, analog consistency, regional splits, LOE handling). Should define clear scoring thresholds — e.g., _unacceptable → excellent_. - Know-how Layer : Commentary explaining how experienced forecasters anchor their assumptions : - How they select base rates and analogs. - How they temper over-optimism (payer pushback, access limits, share ceilings). - How they identify when a model’s structure or magnitude is implausible. ### Engagement Model & Compensation Contract / Part-time (Remote) — work flexibly with data science and evaluation teams.
The client’s current peak-sales forecasting framework produces strong numerical outputs and narratives, but requires
- real-world forecast accountability
- — the kind held by people who’ve owned forecasts that drove BD, portfolio, or investment decisions.
We are looking for a senior commercial / forecasting expert to : - Write
Create a job alert for this search
Sales Expert • Linden, New Jersey, US
Related jobs
Manager, Sales Planning & Effectiveness.Together, we're on a mission to make good health more affordable and accessible, to help millions around the world enjoy healthier lives.It's a mission that ...Show more
Zelis is modernizing the healthcare financial experience across payers, providers, and healthcare consumers.We serve more than 750 payers, including the top five national health plans, regional hea...Show more
As Director, Strategic Planning, you'll lead strategic planning initiatives, leveraging market research, client consulting, and creative brief writing expertise to drive business results and delive...Show more
At IPS, we are global leaders in developing innovative solutions for the consulting, architecture, engineering, project controls, procurement, construction management, and CQV of technically comple...Show more
Pay Rate : up to $45 / hr on w2 (No C2C or 3rd parties).This is an opportunity for a candidate with experience in financial reporting as well as finance systems maintenance.
To succeed on this role, th...Show more
Go Healthcare is seeking a travel Physical Therapy Assistant for a travel job in Freehold, New Jersey.Job Description & Requirements.
Pay package is based on 8 hour shifts and 40 hours per week (sub...Show more
Urgent Opportunity : Join a Legacy of Excellence as a Commercial Roofing Estimator!.Are you a Commercial Roofing Estimator who’s ready to make your mark in a company where loyalty is rewarded,...Show more
At Selective, we don't just insure uniquely, we employ uniqueness.Selective's unique position as both a leading insurance group and an employer of choice is recognized in a wide variety of awards a...Show more
Own holistic forecasts for Derm and AIM products, including synthesis of the top-down forecast with internal bottom-up forecasts delivered by each channel (Retail, Vet Clinic, etc,) in conjunction ...Show more
You have what it takes : a competitive drive coupled with exceptional sales ability.In this role, you will be responsible for implementing the sales plan by delivering proficient sales presentations...Show more
Executive Roofing Systems is a Commercial Roofing Company specializing in long-term relationships with Building Owners, Property & Facility Managers, and Developers.
We are a full-service Roofin...Show more
This position will be located in the East Hanover, NJ site.The Insights and Decision Science (IDS) team is dedicated to enabling improved decision-making at Novartis by leveraging data and advanced...Show more
Join Our Team as a Telecommute Sales Specialist Become part of our award-winning team recognized by Entrepreneur Magazine, Forbes, and Inc.
Our rapid growth speaks for itself, and we invite you to b...Show more
Modeling and Forecasting Analyst.Director, Systems Planning, Data and Forecasting.The Part-time Modeling and Forecasting Analyst supports work within the North Jersey Transportation Planning Author...Show more
Chris Andersen Roofing, a Tecta America Company, has served New Jersey’s commercial and industrial roofing market since 1906.
Known for quality workmanship and customer service, they specialize in r...Show more
Being good neighbors - helping people, investing in our communities, and making the world a better place - is who we are at State Farm.
It is at the core of how we operate and the reason for our suc...Show more
This is a hybrid role, with the expectation that time working will regularly take place inside and outside of a company office.
First Citizens Bank offers an exciting summer internship program that ...Show more
We are looking for a strategic and analytical.This role will be building and managing forecast models that inform production, inventory, and sales planning across multiple product categories, inclu...Show more
Manager, Sales Planning & Effectiveness
Teva Pharmaceuticals USA • Parsippany, NJ, US
Full-time
Last updated: 5 hours ago • Promoted • New!
Salesforce Tech Lead - Data & AI
Zelis Healthcare, LLC • Morristown, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Director, Strategic Planning
IPG Health • Parsippany-Troy Hills, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Contract Analyst
IPS-Integrated Project Services • Somerset, NJ, US
Permanent
Last updated: 27 days ago • Promoted
Financial Analyst
Source One Technical Solutions • New Brunswick, NJ, US
Full-time
Last updated: 1 day ago • Promoted
Travel Physical Therapy Assistant - $1,654 per week
Go Healthcare • Freehold, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 23 days ago • Promoted
Commercial Roof Estimator
Gpac • South Amboy, New Jersey, United States
Full-time
Quick Apply
Last updated: 30+ days ago
Sr Strategic Planning Analyst (Hybrid)
Selective Insurance • Millburn, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 15 days ago • Promoted
Manager, Market Intelligence - Dermatology and AIM
Zoetis, Inc • Parsippany, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Immunology Sales Specialist
Syneos Health / inVentiv Health Commercial LLC • Paterson, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Estimator - Commercial Roofing
Executive Roofing Systems Inc • Morganville, New Jersey, United States
Full-time
Quick Apply
Last updated: 30+ days ago
ED, Personalized & Precision Medicine
Novartis • East Hanover, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Telecommute Sales Specialist
Joseph and Young • Newark, NJ, US
Full-time
Quick Apply
Last updated: 30+ days ago
Modeling and Forecasting Analyst
New Jersey Institute of Technology • Newark, NJ, United States
Part-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Commercial Roofing Estimator
Tecta & Schwickerts • Hopelawn, NJ, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago
Claim Specialist - Property Field Inspection
State Farm • New Brunswick, NJ, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 23 days ago • Promoted
Corporate Intern - Credit Modeling & Analytics (Hybrid)
First Citizens Bank • Morristown, NJ, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Demand Planner
Ascend Wellness Holdings • Morristown, NJ, USA
Full-time
Quick Apply
Last updated: 30+ days ago