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Superforecaster (AI Research Project)
Superforecaster (AI Research Project)Weekday AI • US
Superforecaster (AI Research Project)

Superforecaster (AI Research Project)

Weekday AI • US
25 days ago
Job type
  • Part-time
  • Remote
  • Quick Apply
Job description

This role is for one of our clients

A leading AI research group is seeking top-tier superforecasters to support a high-impact initiative aimed at strengthening AI systems' long-range prediction and reasoning abilities. The role involves generating calibrated, data-driven forecasts across domains such as geopolitics, global markets, macroeconomics, and emerging world events. Ideal for professionals affiliated with respected forecasting communities and with a proven track record of high-accuracy predictions.

Requirements

Key Responsibilities

  • Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions
  • Clearly document thought process, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies
  • Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts
  • Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria
  • Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance

Ideal Qualifications

  • Affiliation with a recognized forecasting program (e.g., Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative, International Institute of Forecasters)
  • Proven forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years
  • Experience participating in competitive or public forecasting tournaments
  • Strong analytical, probabilistic reasoning, and written communication skills
  • Ability to work independently in a structured, asynchronous environment
  • Project Details

  • Fully remote and asynchronous — choose your own working hours
  • Expected commitment : 10–20 hours per week
  • Compensation & Terms

  • Compensation range : $140–245 per hour (U.S.-based candidates)
  • Engagement classified as independent contractor
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    Research Project • US

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