Geopolitics Forecaster

1\. Role Overview

Mercor is collaborating with a leading AI lab on a cutting-edge research initiative involving top superforecasters from around the world. We’re seeking geopolitical experts to contribute high-quality predictions and analytical reasoning on major international developments. This contract-based opportunity allows professionals to apply their domain expertise in a unique setting focused on enhancing AI reasoning models. 2\. Key Responsibilities - Produce structured forecasts on geopolitical events, risks, and regional dynamics - Document your reasoning clearly, citing relevant sources and frameworks - Assess political, military, and diplomatic developments using open-source intelligence - Collaborate with other expert forecasters to compare and refine outputs - Support the design and evaluation of forecasting tasks 3\. Ideal Qualifications - Background in political science, international relations, security studies, or related fields - Demonstrated forecasting experience or tournament participation (e.g., GJ Open, Metaculus) - Ability to synthesize complex geopolitical information into structured insights - Excellent written communication and research skills - Familiarity with current global events and international affairs 4\. More About the Opportunity - Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule - Expected commitment : ~10–20 hours / week 5\. Compensation & Contract Terms - $105–125 / hour for U.S.-based applicants - You’ll be classified as an independent contractor 6\. Application Process - Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started - You’ll complete a brief form - We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps 7\. About Mercor - Mercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations - Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey - Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI