Peak Sales Forecasting ExpertMercor • Hoover, Alabama, US
Peak Sales Forecasting Expert
Mercor • Hoover, Alabama, US
22 hours ago
Job type
- Part-time
- Remote
Job description“golden” peak-sales forecasts for representative drug programs and standard prompts. - Define structural checks, scenario logic, and sanity bands for automated forecast evaluations. - Make explicit the heuristics and base-rate assumptions used by experienced forecasters to tell a realistic model from a speculative one. ### Profile : Industry Commercial Forecaster : Director / Sr. Director / VP-level experience in global forecasting, brand planning, or commercial insights . - Built and defended patient-based peak-sales models used in portfolio, BD, or investment contexts. - Familiar with forecasting for multiple drugs or indications , particularly during pre-launch and early commercialization stages. - Can articulate the reasoning behind base-case assumptions (penetration, price, ramp, LOE) and how they evolve post-launch. - Has written or reviewed governance-ready peak-sales models (e.g., for launch committees or investor boards). Market / VC / Buy-side Analyst : Senior biotech equity analyst, VC incubation / BD lead, or company creation expert (e.g., from Third Rock, ARCH, Versant, RTW, Venrock, or similar). - Built patient-level and revenue models used for investment diligence or asset valuation . - Can critique or improve bottoms-up forecasts from an investor’s perspective, identifying optimistic biases and false comparables. ### Experience level ~10–15 years in biotech / pharma forecasting, investment, or commercial strategy roles. - Experience spanning pre-launch forecasts → post-launch actuals for multiple assets. - CV / LinkedIn bullets like “led global forecast for \[drug\],” “responsible for long-range revenue planning and peak-sales scenarios,” or “built patient-based forecasts for portfolio decisions.” - Strong comfort with market modeling logic (TPP inputs → eligible pool → penetration → price / net → ramp + LOE). - Evidence of post-hoc learning — can articulate where real-world results diverged from base-case assumptions. ### Expectations : Inputs we give : Forecast prompts (representative TPPs, analogs, and SoC / pricing / launch assumptions). - Access to anonymized or simulated data sets for building base cases. Expected outputs (per prompt) : Golden Forecast Output : A benchmark-quality peak-sales forecast (peak value, revenue curve by key years) plus a concise narrative (3–5 key drivers, 2–3 downside risks). The output should show how the expert calibrates realistic vs. inflated scenarios. - Forecast Rubric : A structured evaluation framework with critical checks (market structure realism, patient flow logic, analog consistency, regional splits, LOE handling). Should define clear scoring thresholds — e.g., _unacceptable → excellent_. - Know-how Layer : Commentary explaining how experienced forecasters anchor their assumptions : - How they select base rates and analogs. - How they temper over-optimism (payer pushback, access limits, share ceilings). - How they identify when a model’s structure or magnitude is implausible. ### Engagement Model & Compensation Contract / Part-time (Remote) — work flexibly with data science and evaluation teams.
The client’s current peak-sales forecasting framework produces strong numerical outputs and narratives, but requires
- real-world forecast accountability
- — the kind held by people who’ve owned forecasts that drove BD, portfolio, or investment decisions.
We are looking for a senior commercial / forecasting expert to : - Write
Create a job alert for this search
Sales Expert • Hoover, Alabama, US
Related jobs
Tecta America, the #1 Roofing Contractor 4-years in a row, is looking for a Roofing Estimator to join their Birmingham, Alabama Team.
Roofing Estimator Position Objective.Prepare cost estimates for ...Show more
Fusion Medical Staffing is seeking an experienced Rad Tech for an exciting Travel Allied job in Homewood, AL.Shift : Inquire Start Date : 12 / 08 / 2025 Duration : 13 weeks Pay : $1727 / Week.Facility in B...Show more
Are you ready to begin your journey towards a rewarding career in the environmental field? Does protecting the environment and gaining hands-on experience as an Environmental Field-Testing Technic...Show more
At Regions, the Business Process Modeler focuses on building out business process documentation, analysis, maintenance, and process improvement for a specific line of business.Ensures key high prio...Show more
We are looking for a finance professional to join our team to train AI models.You will measure the progress of these AI chatbots, evaluate their logic, and solve problems to improve the quality of ...Show more
Medical Solutions is seeking an experienced Rad Tech for an exciting Travel Allied job in Homewood, AL.Shift : 5x8 hr PMs Start Date : 12 / 08 / 2025 Duration : 13 weeks.
A facility in Homewood, AL is seek...Show more
Team Van Truckload truck driver.Dry van trailers with 95% no-touch freight.Mileage pay, plus hourly pay while on duty, not driving.
Paid time off after 6 months, plus 6 days of holiday pay per year....Show more
Estimator - Commercial Construction.United Trades of America, is seeking a highly skilled.The ideal candidate will be proficient in multiple estimating software platforms, with a strong ability to ...Show more
We are expanding our network of skilled Field Professionals to support Phase I Environmental Site Assessments (ESA) and Property Condition Assessments (PCA).
This is a subcontractor opportunity with...Show more
Job Description & Requirements.StartDate : ASAP Available Shifts : Day 12 Pay Rate : $266.This facility is seeking an Emergency Medicine Physician for locum tenens support as they look to fill a c...Show more
Triage Staffing is seeking a travel CVOR Technologist for a travel job in Homewood, Alabama.Job Description & Requirements.
Travel Nursing : Cardiovascular OR Tech Homewood.Shift Details : 8H Days (...Show more
Driven by the desire to provide an iconic customer experience, CarMax ensures customers can buy the vehicles they want in a way that suits them.
That demands a special kind of sales consultant : one ...Show more
Product Testers are wanted to work from home nationwide in the US to fulfill upcoming contracts with national and international companies.
We guarantee 15-25 hours per week with an hourly pay of bet...Show more UK / Canada / Europe / Singapore / Dubai / Australia-based • •Investment Banking or Private Equity Experts • • for a research project with a leading foundational model AI lab.
You are a good fit if you : - Have •...Show more 
The work we do has an impact on millions of lives, and you can be a part of it.We help protect our customers against life's uncertainties.
Regardless of where you work within the company, you'll be ...Show more
Commercial Relationship Pricing Analyst.US-MS-Tupelo | US-AL-Birmingham | US-GA-Atlanta.The Commercial Relationship Pricing Analyst is responsible for.
RENASANT BANK IS AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EMPLOYER...Show more
Securitas Technology, part of Securitas, is a world-leading provider of integrated security solutions that protect, connect and optimize businesses of all types and sizes.More than 13,000 colleague...Show more
Boulo Solutions is partnering with an Heating and Air Conditioning leader in the Birmingham area that is looking for a VP of Estimation to join their growing team.
Monday – Thursday, 7 : 00 AM – 4 : 00 ...Show more
Commercial Roofing Estimator
Tecta & Schwickerts • Birmingham, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago
Travel Rad Tech - $1727 / Week
Fusion Medical Staffing • Homewood, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 18 hours ago • Promoted • New!
Environmental Field-Testing Technician
Alliance Technical Group • Alabaster, AL, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Operational Excellence Business Process Modeler
Regions Financial • Birmingham, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Remote Financial Advising Expert - AI Trainer ($50-$60 / hour)
Data Annotation • Hoover, Alabama
Remote
Full-time +1
Last updated: 22 days ago • Promoted
Travel Rad Tech
Medical Solutions • Homewood, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 6 hours ago • Promoted • New!
CDL-A Refrigerated Truck Driver in Calera, AL
AllTruckJobs • Calera, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Estimator for Large Construction Company in Pelham, AL
Perpetual Labor Sourcing LLC • Pelham, AL, USA
Full-time
Quick Apply
Last updated: 30+ days ago
Environmental Field Subconsultant (Phase I ESA / PCA) (TN, AL, LA)
Blew & Associates, P.A. • Birmingham, AL, US
Remote
Full-time
Quick Apply
Last updated: 30+ days ago
Emergency Medicine Physician
AMN Healthcare • Clanton, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Travel CVOR Technologist - $1,862 per week
Triage Staffing • Homewood, AL, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 1 day ago • Promoted
Sales Consultant
CarMax • Birmingham, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
In-Home Product Tester – No Fees, No Experience, $25-$45 / hr
OCPA • Clanton, Alabama, us
Part-time +1
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Finance Expert
Mercor • Hoover, Alabama, US
Remote
Full-time
Last updated: 21 hours ago • Promoted • New!
External Sales Consultant (Maryland / Delaware Territories)
Protective Life Insurance Company • Birmingham, AL, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 30+ days ago • Promoted
Commercial Relationship Pricing Analyst
Renasant Bank • Birmingham, AL, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 22 days ago • Promoted
Enterprise Sales
Securitas Electronic Security Inc • Birmingham, AL, United States
Full-time
Last updated: 5 hours ago • Promoted • New!
Estimator
Boulo Solutions • Alabaster, AL, US
Full-time
Last updated: 17 days ago • Promoted